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ML Workflow & Evaluation

Frame a problem, split data correctly, choose metrics, detect overfitting, and compare against a baseline.

Concept overview

What this lesson will help you understand.

A trustworthy workflow turns a useful question into reproducible evidence and protects evaluation data from accidental reuse.

Frame a measurable ML task
Split and evaluate data correctly
Detect overfitting and choose decision-aware metrics

Learn by doing

Explore the concept.

Make a prediction before changing a control. Run the experiment, explain what moved, and compare the result with the theory below.

Initializing Interactive Playground...

Complete lesson

Detailed concept deep dive.

Build intuition first, then work through implementation, mathematical derivations, failure analysis, and real system decisions.

7 guided chapters

IntuitionCorePractice

A trustworthy workflow turns a useful question into reproducible evidence and protects evaluation data from accidental reuse.

Before working through the formal derivations, connect the vocabulary to one small, concrete example. The goal is not to memorize definitions in isolation. It is to understand what each idea represents, which assumptions make it valid, and how the pieces relate to one another.

Ideas to understand

  • Problem framing, target, unit, prediction time, and baseline
  • Train, validation, test, cross-validation, and temporal splits
  • Regression and classification metrics, confusion matrix, calibration, and thresholds

Learn by doing

Make the idea concrete

Explain the ML workflow and evaluation with a concrete example and no unexplained jargon.

Try this

  • Define “Problem framing, target, unit, prediction time, and baseline” in your own words, then annotate one concrete ML Workflow & Evaluation input and output.
  • Construct one valid case and one counterexample for “Train, validation, test, cross-validation, and temporal splits”; explain which assumption separates them.
  • Predict how “Regression and classification metrics, confusion matrix, calibration, and thresholds” will change one visible playground result, then test and record the before/after values.

Evidence of understanding

  • You can explain the example without relying on jargon.
  • You can name the assumptions and identify what would invalidate them.
  • You can connect the example to at least one real ML use case.

What part of the ML Workflow & Evaluation mental model still feels least intuitive, and what example would help clarify it?

Saved in your browser progress and included in exports.

Practice with code

Make the idea executable.

Complete the starter code, use progressive hints, and pass deterministic checks in the browser.

Runnable Python lab

Compute a confusion matrix and threshold tradeoff

Implement confusion counts for fixed probabilities and compare a default threshold with a recall-oriented threshold.

Keep learning

Papers, standards, and practical references.

Start with the free primary sources. Books are included where a longer, connected treatment is worth the investment.

Test your understanding.

Answer explanations appear after every choice. Missed questions can be reviewed before a full retake.

Mastery requires 80% or higher.

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